Russell Wilson and the Seahawks get their season back on track with MaximBet’s lock of the week vs. the Cardinals.
I’m taking a mulligan on last week’s lock.
As is usually the case in publishing an article, you have to write it a little in advance so when it was announced that the husk of Mason Rudolph, a man who has never held a football in which he didn’t want to throw right into the dirt, was starting in place of an injured Ben Roethlisberger, my lock pick was immediately broken.
Already published though, it was lost to me. Unchangeable. Set in internet stone. But the second you saw Rudolph penciled in there as a starter, and the game’s pointspread drop from Steelers -10.5 to -5.5 at MaximBet, you should have run away like you just cut the wrong-colored wire on a bomb in a Lethal Weapon movie.
So, let me go ahead and add this disclaimer, if I have to. All locks and upset picks are null and void the second a backup quarterback is announced, especially if it’s Mason Rudolph, a guy who will appear behind me and immediately fumble a football if I type his name out one more time.
But we hit on our upset as is usually the case and now, thanks to the Week 11 NFL odds at MaximBet, I am ready once again to dole out my hand-selected wagers for your entertainment and moneymaking purposes.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (PK)
Word is that Kyler Murray is possible to play, but I don’t expect him to be 100 percent. A quarterback coming back too early usually spells disaster, which is exactly what happened last week with Russell Wilson forcing his way back into the lineup to face Aaron Rodgers without so much as ingesting a single capybara boner pill in the process.
This is a week of tight games and spreads. At the time I’m writing this, two games are “pick ‘ems” (PK from above for those of you not familiar with gambling acronyms) and four more spreads are 3 points or less.
Seattle and the Cards are 2-2 head-to-head over the last two seasons, but the Seahawks’ entire postseason plans are on the line in this one. To take a seventh loss here in Week 11 would all but guarantee that Wilson will be watching the playoffs on his Barcalounger and sending out cringe TikToks with Ciara. Nobody wants that.
Take the Seahawks to win.
Detroit Lions at Cleveland Browns (-11)
Miami Dolphins (-3) at New York Jets
The same teams continually show up in our worst games because they give us next to nothing. The New York Jets have decided to turn to Joe Flacco this week, as whoever made the Monkey’s Paw wish with Mike White rightly tossed it into the nearest fireplace before he could take the field again.
Meanwhile, head coach Robert Saleh and former Jets and Buffalo Bills head coach Rex Ryan are apparently going to get into a fist fight the next time Ryan can hoist himself out of his chair and not get distracted by the nearest Golden Corral chocolate fountain.
As for the Lions, Jared Goff, already terrible, might be too hurt to play at all, which means the team will turn to Tim Boyle, a fourth-year guy out of Eastern Kentucky who has thrown exactly four passes in the NFL and not a single one in the last two seasons.
So, yeah, obviously an upgrade over Goff, but I’m still not confident. I’ll have to see him gnaw on a few knees first.
Take the Dolphins at -3 and skip the Lions at Browns altogether.
I know my usual shocking upsets come with a -3.5 or better, but this time, there are just none I like in the odds. I feel like, with the Packers riding high and Aaron Rodgers specifically very high on pangolin birth control suppositories, that a defeat at the sanitized hands of his fellow unvaccinated QB Kirk Cousins should qualify as a shock. Or, at least, a very interesting surprise.
So far, Cousins has been a man of his word, avoiding ingesting axolotl hemorrhoid creams to battle COVID-19 and has instead followed the league’s protocols and been very careful, masked up and lived his life ensconced inside a Tupperware container.
Take the Vikings at +2
No one else was in the room where it happened. No one really knows how the game is played, the art of the trade, how the sausage is made, we just assume that it happens thanks to dropping a Hamilton on this perfect four-team parlay.
As we always do, we’re going to start with our upset moneyline, the Vikings (+110). To that we’re going to add the New Orleans Saints (+115), the Washington Football Team (+145) and the Indianapolis Colts (+270).
The Buffalo Bills got held to just nine points by the Jacksonville Jaguars two weeks ago. The Colts defense is far better and that Bills win over the Jets only told us that New York sucks exactly as much as we thought they did.
The WFT is coming off a monster win over Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, which got them back into the playoff picture. Cam Newton is making his first start for the Carolina Panthers in more than a year and a half and facing his old coach in Ron Rivera, a guy that should know a thing or two about slowing him down.
And, lastly, the Saints are playing a Philadelphia Eagles team that can’t seem to figure out if they’re good enough to just miss the playoffs or bad enough to not even be in the conversation come December.
A $10 parlay bet win on these four teams pays $400.
Adam Greene is @TheFirstMan on Twitter.
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